콘텐츠로 건너뛰기
추천

설정

선호 설정 사용자 정의

언어
Probability desk · GMT+8

Football forecasts with the black box opened.

A transparent weighted-Poisson baseline compares 1X2, goals 2.5, BTTS and correct-score signals, then publishes one validated prediction per match. Generated predictions are automatically approved and tracked after the final whistle.

Explore predictions How it works
MODEL STATUSONLINE
Engine
POISSON-WTD-V3
Markets
1X2 · O/U 2.5 · BTTS · SCORE
Review
Human approved
Tracking
Automatic settlement
Audited output

Settled prediction performance

Calculated only from published predictions after final scores are recorded.

Track record
Win rate 54.3% Settled prediction outcome
Average ROI -40.0% Across settled predictions with recorded odds
Sample size 276 No backfilled or hidden outcomes
Record 150W 126L 0D Updated when results settle
Published board

Latest AI predictions

Status
Signal
POL D1
Members Settled
아르카 그디니아 푸슈차
Final score 3 : 0 WIN
1X2 홈 Probability 61%
Model confidence 53%
이탈리아 컵
Members Settled
사수올로 체세나
Final score 3 : 0 LOSE
Correct score 1:1 Probability 12%
Model confidence 43%
핀란드 디비전 1
Free Settled
그니스탄 헬싱키 일베스 탐페레
Final score 3 : 2 WIN
BTTS 예 Probability 63%
Model confidence 48%
메이저 리그 사커
Members Settled
내슈빌 SC 인터 마이애미 CF
Final score 4 : 1 WIN
1X2 홈 Probability 48%
Model confidence 44%
SPA D1
Members Settled
세비야 라요 바예카노
Final score 2 : 1 WIN
1X2 홈 Probability 55%
Model confidence 53%
네덜란드 디비전 1
Members Settled
포르투나 시타르트 SC 캄부르
Final score 3 : 1 LOSE
Correct score 1:1 Probability 12%
Model confidence 45%
잉글랜드 챔피언십
Members Settled
울버스 블랙번 로버스
Final score 2 : 2 LOSE
Correct score 1:1 Probability 12%
Model confidence 46%
국제 친선경기
Free Settled
아탈란타 아틀레티코 빌바오
Final score 1 : 0 LOSE
BTTS 예 Probability 59%
Model confidence 48%
UEFA 유로파리그
Members Settled
에그나티아 샴록 로버스
Final score 5 : 1 WIN
1X2 홈 Probability 45%
Model confidence 43%
UEFA 유로파리그
Free Settled
허츠 베냉카
Final score 1 : 1 WIN
Correct score 1:1 Probability 12%
Model confidence 47%
국제 친선경기
Members Settled
코루냐 레알 마드리드
Final score 0 : 1 LOSE
Correct score 1:1 Probability 12%
Model confidence 50%
UEFA SC
Free Settled
파리 생제르맹 애스턴 빌라
Final score 2 : 1 WIN
1X2 홈 Probability 53%
Model confidence 60%
Method, not magic

What the model actually does

  1. 01Read

    Uses recorded final scores already available to OptaTips. Recent matches carry more weight.

  2. 02Estimate

    Builds expected home and away goals, then converts them into market probabilities.

  3. 03Review

    Validates the selected market and fixture timing, then automatically approves and publishes the forecast.

  4. 04Audit

    Settles published predictions against final scores and exposes the resulting track record.