跳到内容
推荐

设置

自定义您的偏好设置

语言
Probability desk · GMT+8

Football forecasts with the black box opened.

A transparent weighted-Poisson baseline compares 1X2, goals 2.5, BTTS and correct-score signals, then publishes one validated prediction per match. Generated predictions are automatically approved and tracked after the final whistle.

Explore predictions How it works
MODEL STATUSONLINE
Engine
POISSON-WTD-V3
Markets
1X2 · O/U 2.5 · BTTS · SCORE
Review
Human approved
Tracking
Automatic settlement
Audited output

Settled prediction performance

Calculated only from published predictions after final scores are recorded.

Track record
Win rate 54.3% Settled prediction outcome
Average ROI -40.0% Across settled predictions with recorded odds
Sample size 276 No backfilled or hidden outcomes
Record 150W 126L 0D Updated when results settle
Published board

Latest AI predictions

Status
Signal
西班牙乙级联赛1
Free Settled
RCD Espanyol Real Madrid
Final score 1 : 2 LOSE
Goals 2.5 小於 2.5 Probability 58%
Model confidence 54%
葡萄牙D1
Members Settled
Sporting Cp Alverca
Final score 3 : 1 WIN
BTTS 是 Probability 63%
Model confidence 46%
英格兰超级联赛
Free Settled
Brentford Tottenham
Final score 3 : 0 WIN
1X2 首页 Probability 50%
Model confidence 58%
瑞士超级联赛
Members Settled
Luzern Lausanne Sports
Final score 1 : 0 LOSE
BTTS 是 Probability 65%
Model confidence 50%
英格兰超级联赛
Members Settled
Everton Crystal Palace
Final score 2 : 0 WIN
1X2 首页 Probability 54%
Model confidence 55%
英格兰超级联赛
Members Settled
Nottingham Leeds
Final score 0 : 1 LOSE
1X2 首页 Probability 44%
Model confidence 46%
东盟杯
Members Settled
Thailand Vietnam
Final score 0 : 2 WIN
1X2 客队 Probability 45%
Model confidence 46%
英格兰超级联赛
Members Settled
Hull City Man United
Final score 2 : 0 WIN
1X2 首页 Probability 46%
Model confidence 44%
秘鲁甲级联赛 1
Members Settled
Alianza Sporting Cristal
Final score 3 : 1 WIN
1X2 首页 Probability 46%
Model confidence 44%
英格兰超级联赛
Members Settled
Arsenal Coventry City
Final score 3 : 0 WIN
1X2 首页 Probability 50%
Model confidence 58%
西班牙乙级联赛1
Members Settled
Real Betis Real Sociedad
Final score 1 : 0 WIN
1X2 首页 Probability 58%
Model confidence 57%
法国D1
Members Settled
马赛 斯特拉斯堡
Final score 4 : 0 WIN
1X2 首页 Probability 48%
Model confidence 47%
Method, not magic

What the model actually does

  1. 01Read

    Uses recorded final scores already available to OptaTips. Recent matches carry more weight.

  2. 02Estimate

    Builds expected home and away goals, then converts them into market probabilities.

  3. 03Review

    Validates the selected market and fixture timing, then automatically approves and publishes the forecast.

  4. 04Audit

    Settles published predictions against final scores and exposes the resulting track record.