Probability desk · GMT+8
Football forecasts with the black box opened.
A transparent weighted-Poisson baseline compares 1X2, goals 2.5, BTTS and correct-score signals, then publishes one validated prediction per match. Generated predictions are automatically approved and tracked after the final whistle.
- Engine
- POISSON-WTD-V3
- Markets
- 1X2 · O/U 2.5 · BTTS · SCORE
- Review
- Human approved
- Tracking
- Automatic settlement
Audited output
Settled prediction performance
Calculated only from published predictions after final scores are recorded.
Published board
Latest AI predictions
Status
Signal
Members
Settled
布罗马队
马尔默足球俱乐部
Final score
1 : 2
LOSE
Correct score
1:1
Probability 12%
Model confidence
48%
Free
Settled
阿尔卡格丁尼亚队
热舒夫钢铁队
Final score
4 : 0
LOSE
BTTS
是
Probability 63%
Model confidence
49%
Members
Settled
泰国
马来西亚
Final score
2 : 0
WIN
1X2
首页
Probability 59%
Model confidence
53%
Members
Settled
金箭队
奇帕联队
Final score
0 : 0
LOSE
1X2
首页
Probability 46%
Model confidence
46%
Free
Settled
希恩肯队
卡尔马队
Final score
1 : 1
WIN
BTTS
是
Probability 62%
Model confidence
52%
No predictions on this page match these filters.
Method, not magic
What the model actually does
- 01Read
Uses recorded final scores already available to OptaTips. Recent matches carry more weight.
- 02Estimate
Builds expected home and away goals, then converts them into market probabilities.
- 03Review
Validates the selected market and fixture timing, then automatically approves and publishes the forecast.
- 04Audit
Settles published predictions against final scores and exposes the resulting track record.