Probability desk · GMT+8
Football forecasts with the black box opened.
A transparent weighted-Poisson baseline compares 1X2, goals 2.5, BTTS and correct-score signals, then publishes one validated prediction per match. Generated predictions are automatically approved and tracked after the final whistle.
- Engine
- POISSON-WTD-V3
- Markets
- 1X2 · O/U 2.5 · BTTS · SCORE
- Review
- Human approved
- Tracking
- Automatic settlement
Audited output
Settled prediction performance
Calculated only from published predictions after final scores are recorded.
Published board
Latest AI predictions
Status
Signal
Members
Settled
Bromma
Malmo FF
Final score
1 : 2
LOSE
Correct score
1:1
Probability 12%
Model confidence
48%
Free
Settled
Arka Gdynia
Stal Rzeszow
Final score
4 : 0
LOSE
BTTS
Oui
Probability 63%
Model confidence
49%
Free
Settled
Hacken
Kalmar
Final score
1 : 1
WIN
BTTS
Oui
Probability 62%
Model confidence
52%
Members
Settled
Thailand
Malaysia
Final score
2 : 0
WIN
1X2
Équipe à domicile
Probability 59%
Model confidence
53%
Members
Settled
Golden Arrows
Chippa United
Final score
0 : 0
LOSE
1X2
Équipe à domicile
Probability 46%
Model confidence
46%
No predictions on this page match these filters.
Method, not magic
What the model actually does
- 01Read
Uses recorded final scores already available to OptaTips. Recent matches carry more weight.
- 02Estimate
Builds expected home and away goals, then converts them into market probabilities.
- 03Review
Validates the selected market and fixture timing, then automatically approves and publishes the forecast.
- 04Audit
Settles published predictions against final scores and exposes the resulting track record.